Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.160695 0.184060 0.210646 0.243349 0.282787 0.329181 0.388441
2025-04-27 0.126614 0.157337 0.196223 0.250000 0.323982 0.424575 0.576052
2025-05-04 0.105758 0.139386 0.185427 0.255112 0.361752 0.525810 0.812792
2025-05-11 0.092264 0.127322 0.178413 0.261700 0.401307 0.641197 1.125088
2025-05-18 0.081624 0.116842 0.170823 0.264419 0.434070 0.755924 1.498903
2025-05-25 0.073194 0.108023 0.163728 0.265595 0.463528 0.874934 1.957794
2025-06-01 0.066005 0.099938 0.156200 0.263929 0.486550 0.989665 2.492697
2025-06-08 0.059712 0.092384 0.148240 0.259540 0.502436 1.095003 3.094102
2025-06-15 0.056107 0.088826 0.146635 0.266950 0.546018 1.289597 4.197863
2025-06-22 0.051396 0.082753 0.139525 0.261612 0.558355 1.406195 5.158008
2025-06-29 0.048274 0.079139 0.136498 0.264315 0.591520 1.603854 6.800862
2025-07-06 0.044908 0.074707 0.131284 0.261134 0.608435 1.759967 8.536771
2025-07-13 0.042591 0.072050 0.129375 0.265549 0.649218 2.033744 11.765218
2025-07-20 0.040684 0.069981 0.128417 0.272172 0.699668 2.389100 16.968903
2025-07-27 0.038852 0.067866 0.127081 0.277628 0.749154 2.788862 24.758072
2025-08-03 0.037325 0.066196 0.126476 0.284895 0.808221 3.300577 38.059075
2025-08-10 0.035624 0.064004 0.124435 0.287903 0.854075 3.800129 57.206384
2025-08-17 0.033961 0.061739 0.121950 0.289207 0.894742 4.327541 86.720842
2025-08-24 0.032248 0.059218 0.118584 0.287349 0.922747 4.817724 128.980511
2025-08-31 0.030505 0.056494 0.114446 0.282460 0.936763 5.235635 186.268549
2025-09-07 0.029643 0.055590 0.114576 0.290714 1.012983 6.308131 375.568131
2025-09-14 0.028091 0.053058 0.110446 0.284767 1.021597 6.795636 581.308610
2025-09-21 0.027109 0.051711 0.109134 0.287778 1.076043 7.884981 1254.144550